Wednesday, April 15, 2020

"a new paper shows that lockdowns do nothing to "flatten the curve" -- all they do is delay the exact same outbreak pattern until six months later."

Ace of Spades writes in part,
sraeli Professor: It Doesn't Matter If You Have Strict Social Distancing or None, Coronavirus Follows the Exact Same Pattern in All Countries
Ace
He says that imposing strict shutdowns like the US and no shutdown at all, as Sweden does, produces the exact same "curve."

None of this bullshit matters, his models say.

Professor Yitzhak Ben Israel of Tel Aviv University, who also serves on the research and development advisory board for Teva Pharmaceutical Industries, plotted the rates of new coronavirus infections of the U.S., U.K., Sweden, Italy, Israel, Switzerland, France, Germany, and Spain. The numbers told a shocking story: irrespective of whether the country quarantined like Israel, or went about business as usual like Sweden, coronavirus peaked and subsided in the exact same way. In the exact, same, way. His graphs show that all countries experienced seemingly identical coronavirus infection patterns, with the number of infected peaking in the sixth week and rapidly subsiding by the eighth week.

The Wuhan Virus follows its own pattern, he told Mako, an Israeli news agency. It is a fixed pattern that is not dependent on freedom or quarantine. "There is a decline in the number of infections even [in countries] without closures, and it is similar to the countries with closures," he wrote in his paper.

Meanwhile, a new paper shows that lockdowns do nothing to "flatten the curve" -- all they do is delay the exact same outbreak pattern until six months later.

Which makes demands that the world remain in lockdown until 2022 (!!!!) all the more insane.

No comments: