Here is an interesting daily summary by Rasmussen of the polling on Obama v. McCain. It appears that voters made up their minds for Obama on about the 19th of September. If that carries forward to this year, we've got about two more months.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2008/2008_presidential_election/general_election_match_up_history
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