James Piereson writes in the New Criterion that the New Deal may finally be coming to an end. A new political coalition may be forming between business interests and middle class Americans. From the 1930s to the present "the Democratic Party has built its coalition around public spending and the recruitment of new groups into the political process, often by promises of new public programs."
"The Democratic Party has gradually evolved into a “public sector party”
that finds its votes and organizational strength in public sector
unions, government employees and contractors, and beneficiaries of
government programs."
"The Republicans, much in contrast to the Democrats, have organized
themselves in recent decades as a “private sector party,” winning votes
and contributions from individuals and business groups committed to
cutting taxes and reducing the size and scope of government."
Piereson shows how we have had three "regime parties:" the Democrats under Jefferson, the Republicans after Lincoln, and the Democrats after FDR. "The dominant parties in each of these eras might be called “regime
parties” because they were able to use their political strength to
implement and carry forward the basic themes around which these
political settlements were organized. Jefferson’s party pushed forward
the themes of localism, democracy, and expansion; Lincoln’s, the themes
of union, freedom, and capitalism; FDR’s,
the themes of national regulation, public spending, and
internationalism. In this sense, the United States has rarely had a
two-party system but rather a one and one-half party system consisting
of a “regime party” and a competitor forced to adapt to its dominant
position. These competitors—the Whigs in the 1840s, the Democrats after
the Civil War, and the Republicans in the post-war era—occasionally won
national elections, but only after accepting the legitimacy of the basic
political themes established by the regime party."
Now, however, there are four main reasons why the Democrats' regime may be collapsing:
"(1) unsustainable debt; (2) public promises that cannot be fulfilled;
(3) stagnation and slow growth; and (4) political paralysis. The last
point is important because it means that the parties will fail to agree
on any preemptive solutions to the above problems until they reach a
point of crisis." Read the whole article, because he does a great job of explaining each of these point and many more: http://www.newcriterion.com/articles.cfm/Future-tense--X--The-fourth-revolution-7395
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